Current:Home > ContactChina is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means. -Wealth Legacy Solutions
China is edging toward deflation. Here's what that means.
Rekubit View
Date:2025-03-11 01:15:21
Whereas the U.S. continues to grapple with elevated prices, China is dealing with the opposite problem. In July, the world's second largest economy slipped into deflationary territory, with consumer prices declining 0.3% from a year earlier.
The decline in consumer prices sets China apart in more ways than one. In the post-COVID era, many nations, ranging from the U.K. to the U.S., have struggled with high inflation sparked by a combination of government spending and tight labor markets, which have sent their economies into overdrive.
China's deflation comes amid high unemployment for its younger workers, with more than 1 in 5 people between 16 to 24 unable to find a job. Meanwhile, the country's economic activity fizzled out earlier than expected following the lifting of virus controls, prompting Chinese leaders to try to shore up business and consumer activity.
- China's Xi Jinping meets "old friend" Henry Kissinger
- China accuses U.S. of turning Taiwan into "powder keg
- Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says China trip "has been successful" in forging relationships
"China's economic trajectory has been a focal point of global attention for decades, with its staggering growth and transformation capturing the world's imagination," noted Nigel Green of wealth management company deVere Group in a Wednesday research note. "But the recent emergence of serious deflationary pressures in the world's second-largest economy is triggering concerns that extend well beyond its borders."
Here's what to know about deflation.
What is deflation?
Deflation is a decline in overall price levels, and is the opposite of inflation, when prices rise over a period of time.
Deflation typically is linked with economic downturns, such as during the Great Depression in the U.S. during the 1930s, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Is deflation bad?
Deflation might seem like a good trend, at least on the face of it — after all, if prices decline, that means your paycheck will go farther because and, in theory at least, you'll have more purchasing power.
But deflation's impact can hit a nation's broader economy in a number of negative ways. For one, if people believe items will cost less next week or next month, they may hold off on buying products or services, strangling the lifeblood of an economy: consumer spending.
If that happens, companies could respond by cutting workers, trimming wages or making other adjustments.
Secondly, deflation is a negative for people or businesses with debt, such as mortgages or other loans. That's because even though prices are falling, the value of debt doesn't change, which puts pressure on consumers and businesses to cut spending in order to service their debt payments.
Why is China experiencing deflation?
China's deflation appears to be coming from two sectors — transportation and food, with pork prices down 26% year over year, Ben Emons, senior portfolio manager and head of fixed income at NewEdge Wealth, said in a Wednesday research note.
Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, China's consumer price index rose 0.8% in July, he noted. Overall, the deflation experienced last month in China is "mild" and could be quickly reversed, Emons added.
"China may be in deflation but that is less likely to persist as the Chinese government is set on hitting the GDP target of 5.5%," he wrote. "Moreover, pork-driven disinflation can be manipulated, which means that China CPI deflation is likely to reverse quickly."
Could deflation in China impact the U.S.?
It's possible, partly because the U.S. imports a lot of goods from China, according to economists and market experts.
"As its exports become cheaper due to deflation, other economies might face increased competition, forcing them to lower their own prices or risk losing market share," Green of deVere group noted.
He added, "Also, reduced demand for raw materials and commodities due to its economic slowdown is likely to lead to a decrease in global commodity prices."
- In:
- China
veryGood! (323)
Related
- Backstage at New York's Jingle Ball with Jimmy Fallon, 'Queer Eye' and Meghan Trainor
- AI-generated child sexual abuse images could flood the internet. A watchdog is calling for action
- Why offshore wind is facing headwinds
- 8 Akron police officers involved in Jayland Walker shooting are back on active duty
- The company planning a successor to Concorde makes its first supersonic test
- Mississippi should set minimum wage higher than federal level, says Democrat running for governor
- Meet Ed Currie, the man behind the world's hottest chili pepper
- Murder charge reinstated against former cop in shooting of Eddie Irizarry: Report
- 'Survivor' 47 finale, part one recap: 2 players were sent home. Who's left in the game?
- Michelle Williams' Impression of Justin Timberlake Is Tearin' Up the Internet
Ranking
- Backstage at New York's Jingle Ball with Jimmy Fallon, 'Queer Eye' and Meghan Trainor
- 10 days after heading to sea, 3 fishermen are missing off Georgia amid wide search by Coast Guard
- Powerball winning numbers from Oct. 23 drawing: Jackpot now at $100 million
- Abracadabra! The tale of 'The World’s Greatest Magician' who vanished from history
- Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Triathlon
- Watch Brie and Nikki Garcia Help Siblings Find Their Perfect Match in Must-See Twin Love Trailer
- Activists demand transparency over Malaysia’s move to extend Lynas Rare Earth’s operations
- Poland’s Tusk visits Brussels, seeking initiative in repairing ties with EU and unlocking funds
Recommendation
Google unveils a quantum chip. Could it help unlock the universe's deepest secrets?
Senate panel OKs Lew to be ambassador to Israel, and a final confirmation vote could come next week
Man indicted on murder charge in connection with disappearance of girl more than 20 years ago
GM earned more than $3 billion in profit, even after hit from UAW strike
Mets have visions of grandeur, and a dynasty, with Juan Soto as major catalyst
Senate panel OKs Lew to be ambassador to Israel, and a final confirmation vote could come next week
Savannah Chrisley Pens Message to Late Ex Nic Kerdiles One Month After His Death
'Bold and brazen' scammers pose as clergy, target immigrants in California, officials warn